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Proceedings of

2nd International Conference on Advances in Applied Science and Environmental Technology ASET 2015

"NEAR ENDEMIC COEXISTENCE IN A MODEL OF DENGUE AND CHIKUNGUNYA"

EDY SOEWONO
DOI
10.15224/978-1-63248-075-0-42
Pages
21 - 25
Authors
1
ISBN
978-1-63248-075-0

Abstract: “Chikungunya and dengue are re-emerging diseases which are transmitted by Aedes spp. mosquitoes. Although originated from a different location, as the human mobility increases a concurrent outbreak may happen in other places. A mathematical model of chikungunya and dengue transmission with a control is constructed in the framework of SEIR-SEI model. The model is expressed in the form of a 13-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations to describe the dynamics of compartments within human and mosquito populations. We find three equilibrium points and discuss its stability. By using the next generation matrix, we obtain two thresholds represent the basic reproduction number that related to chikungunya and dengue. We show that although there is no coexistence equilibrium, the two diseases could coexist for a relatively long period of time. In terms of control, we investigate the effect of fumigation treatment as a constant parameter in the model. Our analysis and simulation resul”

Keywords: Chikungunya, Dengue, Endemic Equilibrium, Basic Reproduction Number

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